Showing posts with label navigating. Show all posts
Showing posts with label navigating. Show all posts

Tuesday 29 November 2016

THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS: A Proposal







A decision is a choice of action from among at least two possibilities. When you have a decision to make, and the task is proving not so straightforward – so many things to consider, and the possibility that a wrong decision could be costly, for example – you may have to adopt a formal, structured approach like what is suggested here. It is a seven-step, yet relatively simple, decision-making framework.

1.     Define the required decision. What decision do you really want to make? If the resolution is not clearly stated, the answer at the end of the process may not sufficiently match the problem you had at the start. That is, there is a difference between making a decision as to how to increase sales over a period of six months and as regards how to increase sales by ten percent over a period of six months.

It could further help to state the task with a focus on deciding rather than on the problem. In other words, the sentence how do we increase sales by ten percent over a six-month period? might be better than one that says sales are ten percent less than they are supposed to be over a six-month period.

The former (sentence) urges you on in the direction of finding a solution. It could help you keep your sights on what is to be done, as it not only identifies the problem but also calls you to action in a specific direction. The latter, while indeed also pointing out the problem, tends to blur the all-important need for a deed

2.  Gather pertinent facts and figures. Good decisions normally come from a good body of information. It is important to have a healthy understanding of the issues related to the challenge faced. Without relevant knowledge, it might be difficult doing what is required in step 3.

3.   Propose possible solutions. This step involves making a good list of interchangeable decisions that solve the problem in their own way.

4.     Select the best suggestion. The question here is, how effectively and efficiently does each of the alternative decisions listed in (3) address the challenge?

A useful approach is rating the suggested solutions from strongest to weakest. To do this, you need to identify the most important aspects of the solution. That means recognising the specific needs the solution must especially satisfy. To make this clearer, let us go back to our example of increasing sales by ten percent over a time span of six months.

Some key need areas would likely be:
-         What costs does each alternative solution entail?
-         How much effort on the part of the sales team is required in each case?
-         Can the ten percent targeted increase actually be surpassed?

The significance of each of such considerations should always be in sight, for a fuller perspective.

5.   Revisit steps 1 to 4. Just in case a key issue was somehow not factored in, or the required decision was not well-framed, it is necessary to review the first four stages. This can prevent unnecessary, expensive mistakes.

6.    Implement the chosen decision. The selected option can now be put in motion. It becomes necessary, sometimes, to adopt combinations of two or more decisions.

7.     Evaluate the effect. How well does the decision you have picked solve the problem? If not so well, could implementation be the reason? If the implementation looks flawless, you may have to check the first four steps once again.

By the way
Indeed, we said decision-making could be a simple, seven-step process. The reality, it must be said, is that human judgment is not always sober and based on information on the table. Decision-making can be influenced by such powerful internal and external forces as intuition, emotion and amount of time available.

                                     Rupert Chimfwembe
                                      21 November, 2016